Friday, March 24, 2006

Feb 2006 Appreciation Data out

The Feb 2006 appreciation information has just been published. Overall, Portland appreciation shows a 16% increase as compared to Feb 2005 data. Though it's still a very healthy sign, the housing inventory increased a bit to just over 3 months. That is, it will take about 3 months to deplete the entire housing market inventory. We will be watching that number closely for it's a critical indicator of how our market will perform in the coming months.

Wednesday, March 15, 2006

Portland condo market

A client of mine from California asked me this morning: "where else in Portland is a good investment for condos?". This client already owned a couple of condo investment properties in the suburbs and is now considering other places. I didn't hesitate much to tell him that downtown Portland is likely to be the way to go.

In a previous post, I mentioned before that we're anticipating a large number of baby boomers hitting the retirement age. This group of market typically are empty nesters, tired of living in the burbs, no longer need a 3 or 4 bedroom house with a yard to take care of, crave more fun things in life like restaurants, walk to shops and parks, theaters, art. There's no where like downtown in Portland that offers so much and have the potential to fulfill these needs. Unlike many larger cities in the U.S., Portland doesn't really have all the gourmet food, theaters and such aside from downtown. So in a way, all these amenities are concentrated in one 5 square mile area. As more and more condos are built in the next several years, the demand is highly likely to surge more than this growth, considering the number of Californians coming to work and to retire in Portland. One of my other clients did say once: "we'd rather live richly in a smaller place than to live poorly in a large cosmopolitan city". And he's right.

So...am I confident about the Portland real estate market, particularly the condo market? You bet.

Sunday, March 05, 2006

Portland Real Estate 2006

Well, the January 2006 data came out several weeks ago. The appreciation numbers were staggering. Most areas in Portland experienced double digit growth and many neighbhorhoods had a close to 20% growth for the period between January 2005 and 2006. Despite the constant rain throughout December and January, and that January being the slower month in real estate, this kind of percentage growth is incredible. For more details of the appreciation data, go to http://maxwellsinclair.com/portland_appreciation_report.php.

The Oregonian also published the popuation growth data for the next 20 years. It's been estimated that our population will grow from the current 1 million to over 2 million by 2025. And the other half will all come from migrants from California. We're already seeing many Californians moving up to Oregon for work, family, and retirement. And given the real estate prices in California being almost unattainable for many people, we'll see a wave of migrants coming through to Portland. As I've been telling my clients, Portland is the last outpost in the West Coast where real estate is still relatively afforable.

This is all positive news for real estate at the beginning of 2006. More later.